What You Get

Three output formats. Every one structured, sourced, and actioned.

Structured intelligence products with assigned owners, calibrated confidence, and observable escalation indicators. Built to the standard your board and legal team will interrogate.

Situation Scan

3 Free Scans

Threat Register · Free Tier

Example output

#1TECH_RISK_02Export Controls and Technology-Transfer RestrictionsHIGHDirect exposure

The risks that actually fired for your footprint, ranked worst-first by match strength. Each entry is anchored to a coded risk from your sector's 20-risk register, not to a news headline, and every scan opens with a report summary and a risk-location map.

  • 01Report SummaryCompany, sector, subsector, event status, time horizon, and overall confidence, with a count of the risks that fired and the owner actions assigned.
  • 02Risk-Location MapEvery country named in the report, plotted by worst severity, so exposure reads as geography and not just text.
  • 03Risk Code & NameEach entry anchors to a coded risk from your sector's 20-risk register (e.g. TECH_RISK_02, Export Controls and Technology-Transfer Restrictions), not a free-text headline.
  • 04Match StrengthCRITICAL / HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW: how strongly the grounding implicates that risk for your footprint. Entries are ranked worst-first.
  • 05Exposure TypeDirect, Indirect dependency, Contingent, or Systemic: how the risk actually reaches you, not just that it exists.
  • 06EvidenceThe specific development that fired the risk, with the named source. No keyword-only matches survive.
  • 07Business ConsequencesThe concrete consequences for your operations, as discrete points, not generic sector commentary.
  • 08Owner-Assigned ActionsFunction owner (Risk / Operations / Compliance / Legal Leader), a specific action, and a timeframe. As many as the risk warrants, at least one.
  • 09SourcesNamed instruments per entry: BIS Federal Register rule, OFAC SDN list, SEC enforcement action, not "open source research."
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Intelligence Brief

+ Daily Delivery

Event Analysis · Paid Tiers

Example output

"Iranian IRGC naval exercise: three-day Hormuz closure drill raises Q3 LNG routing exposure for operators with active corridor transit agreements."

12-field structured analysis on a specific event or topic: three-stage consequence chain, sector implication, company implication, and recommended actions with function owners.

  • 01HeadlineSingle declarative sentence. Specific actor + event + operational relevance. Board-presentable.
  • 02Severity & ConfidenceCRITICAL / HIGH / MEDIUM / LOW on both axes. Confidence reflects source quality, not severity; an important analytical distinction.
  • 03SituationNamed actors, current development, specific geography, demonstrated effect. Facts only; no forward speculation in this field.
  • 04Sector ImplicationWhat this means for your sector as a class: routing, compliance, capital, procurement. The context your board needs.
  • 05Company ImplicationWhat this means for your specific footprint, counterparties, and regulatory position. Named exposure. If context is insufficient, the brief states what additional information would sharpen it.
  • 06Recommended ActionsFunction owner → specific action → timeframe. 2-4 items. Owner-assigned, not a suggestion list.
  • 07Consequence Chain30-day direct effect with trigger condition · 90-day second-order effect · 180-day strategic decision environment. Each stage names what confirms the chain is activating.
  • 08Watch IndicatorsThree observable signals: one for escalation, one for de-escalation, one secondary development. The reason you return.
  • 09Confidence RationaleWhy the confidence rating was assigned: which primary sources support it, which information gaps limit it.
  • 10SourcesNamed instruments: OFAC General Licence reference, BIS Federal Register rule citation, NewsAPI.ai wire item, CISA advisory, EIA production data.
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Scenario Builder

3 Briefs + Synthesis

Branch Analysis · Command Tier

Example output

BASE · 55-70% · Drill ends without interdiction; premiums decay in weeks

DOWNSIDE · 20-30% · Selective boardings; corridor delays of 1-3 weeks

TAIL RISK · 5-10% · Closure attempt; force majeure across Q3 fixtures

Three parallel branch briefs built from one triggering event over a shared evidence base, plus a synthesis pass: probability bands, divergence triggers, and a decision table.

  • 01Triggering EventOne named event or decision point. Every branch grows from the same grounding context, so the differences between branches are analytical, not informational.
  • 02Three BranchesBase, downside, and tail risk. Each branch is a complete 12-field Intelligence Brief with its own consequence chain, not a paragraph of speculation.
  • 03Probability BandsAn explicit band per branch, ordered and defensible: 55-70%, not "likely." The number your board can interrogate.
  • 04Divergence Triggers3-6 observable signals, each naming which branch it confirms and the window to watch for it. How you know which world you are in.
  • 05Decision TableAct-now-if and defer-if conditions against each pending decision. The difference between a scenario exercise and a decision instrument.
  • 06SynthesisWhat the branches agree on, where they diverge, and the cheapest hedge that covers the spread. Capped and board-presentable.
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The free Threat Register gives you the same coded-risk structure your board would interrogate. Each risk anchored to your sector register. A match strength calibrated to your footprint, not the headline. The evidence that fired it, with a named source. A function-assigned action with a timeframe. The paid Intelligence Brief adds depth on a single event: the consequence chain, sector implication, and daily delivery. The Scenario Builder goes one step further on Command: three parallel branch briefs with probability bands and a decision table. All three formats are built to the standard that holds up when someone asks where the number came from.

Three free scans. No card. No call. Your first result in under 60 seconds.